Picking NFL games is one of the most difficult things to do when football betting. While most sports bettors and sports gamblers think that Vegas makes money off of football betting, loses money on pro baseball, and breaks even on basketball. Still, people can’t seem to stay away from making NFL football predictions. Making NFL picks on games isn’t rocket science but their are simple rules that can help you become a much more successful bettor and your sports book balance will reflect that.
The NFL is a league loaded with parity. That is why you won’t often see lines that are inflated much past a couple of touchdowns. The majority of lines will be within a touchdown and are often decided by less than a field goal. Therefore, you can’t really expect to find any so called locks. Instead, you have to look for value with each pick. There is one category of teams that is constantly a winner in NFL football betting. Home underdogs are some of the best value sports picks year in and year out.
Home underdog lines often look like they should be an obvious bet on the favorite. It looks like that favored team should roll into the underdog’s house and blow them out. More times than not, the home underdog will cover, though. This is especially true in high profile games, where Las Vegas makes a killing off of people who are willing to bet on those big road favorites.
In addition to betting on the home underdogs, there are other NFL picks that sports bettors should always consider. When a team is coming off of a Monday night game they arn't as likely to play well the next week. Likewise, it is always smart to make your against teams that have to travel all of the way across the country. Football players and teams are impacted impacted by things like jet lag and travel. Need help with your NFL expert picks visit Wunderdog Sports at freeunderdog ( dot ) com.
Saturday, November 24, 2007
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